US residential solar · 2026 data

South-Facing vs West-Facing Solar Panels: How Much Output Do You Lose?

Est. net savings

$357

Hypothetical 10 kW system, west vs south, at 18.2¢/kWh · no federal credit

10–20% Typical annual output loss, west vs south
18.2¢/kWh US avg. residential rate, 2026 (EIA)
+49% Summer 3–7 PM output, west vs south (Austin study)

Typical result:

  • West-facing: roughly 10–20% less annual energy
  • Austin study: +49% output at 3–7 PM in summer
  • Best choice depends on your rate plan
  • Run your own roof in NREL PVWatts
✓ EIA rates & NREL sun data ✓ 2026 federal policy applied ✓ Open methodology
· 8 min read ·By

Numbers on this page are built from public data

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Data approach EIA rates · NREL sun hours · 2026 federal policy · methodology

Quick answer: West-facing solar panels typically produce about 10–20% less electricity per year than south-facing panels in the continental US. On a hypothetical 10 kW system, that gap is worth roughly $255–$510 per year at the 2026 US average residential electricity price of about 18.2¢/kWh. But west-facing panels generate more of their power in the afternoon, so on some rate plans they can save as much as, or more than, a south-facing array.

Last reviewed: October 5, 2026.

In the Northern Hemisphere, a south-facing roof gets the most total sunlight over the year, which is why installers treat south as the default. West-facing roofs miss the morning sun and produce most of their energy from midday through the evening. Roof shape, shading, your utility’s rate structure and whether you plan to add a battery can all matter as much as the compass direction.

This guide shows how much output you lose on a west-facing roof, what that costs in dollars, when west-facing can come out ahead, and how to test your own roof.

South-facingWest-facing
Annual energyHighest (baseline)Typically 10–20% lower
When it peaksAround middayMid-to-late afternoon
Best fitFull retail net metering, batteries, flat rate plansTime-of-use plans, evening-heavy usage
Austin summer study, 3–7 PM outputBaseline49% higher than south

How Much Less Energy Do West-Facing Solar Panels Produce?

Solar output is usually compared against a south-facing array tilted at roughly your latitude. Against that baseline, west-facing panels typically produce about 10–20% less energy over a full year. One widely cited comparison of average hourly output found a west-facing array produced about 14% less than a south-facing one over the year (Scientific American). Your own result depends on location, tilt and weather.

Here is what that range means in dollars. These figures use a hypothetical 10 kW system that would produce 14,000 kWh per year facing south, and the 2026 US average residential price of about 18.2¢/kWh forecast by the U.S. Energy Information Administration.

  • 10% loss: 1,400 kWh, about $255 per year
  • 14% loss: 1,960 kWh, about $357 per year
  • 20% loss: 2,800 kWh, about $510 per year

Over 25 years, that is roughly $6,400 to $12,700 at today’s rate, before rate increases and panel degradation. If electricity prices keep rising, the dollar gap grows with them.

East-facing panels behave like a mirror image of west: they lose a similar share of annual energy but produce in the morning instead. Southeast and southwest roofs land between south and west.

The most reliable way to see your own numbers is NREL’s PVWatts calculator. Run your address twice, once with azimuth 180° (south) and once with 270° (west), using your actual roof tilt. Our solar output calculator can help you convert the results into dollars.

Annual energy, west vs south. West-facing arrays make about 86% of south-facing output, a roughly 14% shortfall worth about $357 per year on a hypothetical 10 kW system at 18.2¢/kWh. Source: Scientific American; EIA 2026.

Chart summary: Over a full year, a west-facing array makes about 86% of what a south-facing array makes in this comparison, and other modeling guides put the shortfall at 10–20%. On a hypothetical 10 kW system at 18.2¢/kWh, the 14% case is worth about $357 per year. That is the number west-facing timing benefits must beat.

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When Do West-Facing Solar Panels Save More Money Than South-Facing?

West-facing panels can save more when electricity is worth more in the afternoon and evening than at midday. A south-facing array peaks around noon. A west-facing array shifts production toward mid-to-late afternoon, closer to the hours when many utilities charge their highest time-of-use rates (many California plans use a 4–9 PM peak window).

There is hard data on the timing effect. A Pecan Street Research Institute study of Austin, Texas, homes during summer 2013 found that west-facing systems produced 49% more electricity than south-facing systems during peak hours (3–7 PM) and cut household peak demand by 65%, compared with 54% for south-facing systems (GreenBuildingAdvisor). The study sample was small and covered only one summer, and the report itself noted that over a full year south-facing arrays produce more total energy.

Summer peak demand cut, Austin homes. West-facing solar cut 3–7 PM household demand by 65%, versus 54% for south-facing, in a small 2013 sample. Source: Pecan Street Research Institute via GreenBuildingAdvisor.

Chart summary: In this Austin sample, west-facing systems cut summer 3–7 PM household demand by 65%, compared with 54% for south-facing systems. That supports the timing argument for west-facing panels. It measures peak demand in one summer, not annual bill savings, so it does not show that west-facing wins on total bills.

A simple break-even rule helps. If a west array produces about 86% of a south array’s annual energy, the average kWh it makes must be worth about 16% more (1 ÷ 0.86 ≈ 1.16) just to match the south array’s bill savings. Time-of-use plans with large peak-to-off-peak price gaps can clear that bar. A flat rate cannot.

Three factors usually decide it:

  • Rate plan. On a flat rate with full retail net metering, every kWh is worth the same whenever it is produced, so south-facing wins on volume. On time-of-use plans, check how much more peak electricity costs than midday electricity.
  • Export credits. California’s NEM 3.0 policy, in effect since April 2023, credits exported solar at an hourly avoided-cost rate instead of the retail rate (Enphase). Where exports earn much less than retail, using your own solar power matters more, which can make later-day production more attractive for households with afternoon and evening loads. Net metering rules differ by state and utility, so confirm yours.
  • Batteries. A battery can store midday solar and discharge it in the evening, which reduces the timing advantage of a west-facing array. With storage, the extra total energy from south-facing panels often matters more.

Does Shading Matter More Than Panel Direction?

Often, yes. Shade lowers output no matter which way the roof faces, so a clean, unshaded west roof can outproduce a south roof that is shaded by trees, a chimney or a dormer during key hours. Map shade on every candidate roof plane across all four seasons before deciding. Tools such as Google’s Project Sunroof and on-site shade analysis can help, and so can modeling each roof plane separately in PVWatts.

Equipment also changes the answer. On a conventional string inverter wired as a single string, shade on one panel can pull down the whole string. Microinverters and DC power optimizers let each panel operate independently, and some string inverters have multiple MPPT inputs that can handle different roof faces separately. Any of these makes a split south-and-west layout practical. If your roof has two usable faces, ask your installer to model both and compare the combined result with the best single face.

How Do Latitude, Roof Pitch and Climate Change the Gap?

The south-versus-west gap is not one fixed number. It shifts with where you live and how your roof is built.

  • Tilt. A nearly flat array faces the sky and is almost indifferent to compass direction. The steeper the tilt, the more the compass direction matters.
  • Latitude. The sun’s path and height differ across the country, so the penalty for a west-facing array varies by region. This is why a national average is only a starting point.
  • Local weather. If your area gets frequent afternoon clouds or summer storms, west-facing output can fall more than the average suggests. PVWatts uses historical weather data for your location, which captures this.

For a payback estimate that reflects your own rates, use our solar savings calculator and our guides to solar panel costs and payback periods by state. State-specific information is on our state pages.

Does the Federal Solar Tax Credit Still Apply in 2026?

No, not for most homeowners. The 30% Residential Clean Energy Credit (Section 25D) does not apply to expenditures made after December 31, 2025, following the One Big Beautiful Bill Act signed July 4, 2025. Systems placed in service by that date are claimed on the 2025 return using IRS Form 5695. Because the credit no longer reduces 2026 purchase prices, a roof-orientation decision now carries more weight in your payback math. State and utility incentives may still exist, and leases or power purchase agreements may be treated differently under tax rules, so confirm with an installer and a tax professional.

Bottom Line

South-facing wins on total energy. West-facing costs roughly 10–20% of annual output but can recover some or all of that value where afternoon and evening electricity is worth more, where exports earn low credits, or where your usage is concentrated late in the day. If you have a battery, flat-rate net metering, or a choice between a clean south face and a shaded one, run the numbers for each roof plane before deciding.

Sources

Frequently asked questions

Direct answers for US homeowners — sized for a $150/month electric bill.

Over a full year, yes. In the continental US, south-facing panels at a sensible tilt produce the most total kilowatt-hours, and west-facing panels typically produce about 10–20% less. West-facing panels shift output toward the afternoon, so they can still lower some bills more than their kWh total suggests, depending on your rate plan.

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How these numbers were calculated

Electricity rate
18.19¢/kWh — US average residential price. Source: EIA Electric Power Monthly, Table 5.6.B (year-to-date through July 2026), residential average retail price (July 2026) (EIA)
Solar production
4.5 peak sun hours/day × 0.82 system derate. Approximate state-average daily solar resource (peak sun hours) based on NREL solar resource data (NSRDB); not location-specific — use NREL PVWatts for an address-level estimate. (NREL PVWatts)
Installed price
$3.00 per watt before incentives. Blended 2026 US residential installed price used by this site; EnergySage marketplace reported about $2.60/W (mid-2026); full-market medians are higher.
Federal tax credit
$0 for homeowner-owned systems installed in 2026 — the 30% §25D credit ended Dec 31, 2025 (IRS)
Net metering
National blend — solar assumed to offset 75% of the bill (87% in full-retail net-metering states, 55–70% elsewhere).
Model
Version 2026.10 · 3%/yr electricity price escalation · 0.5%/yr panel degradation · simple payback = installed cost ÷ year-1 savings
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Estimates only — not tax, legal or financial advice. Get at least three installer quotes and confirm incentives with your utility and a tax professional.

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